Is it ever too early to look at a 2014 Fantasy Football mock draft!?! We’re into the new year, and we’re ready to put the 2013 season behind us. Whether you won last season, finished in the playoffs or carried home your league’s Toilet Bowl trophy as the worst team in the league – we’re always curious about the next year’s draft.
Always.
So I’m taking this time to do a one-man 2014 Fantasy Football mock draft. How does this work, exactly? Well, I sit down and figure out which players I think should be drafted in each round.
I understand nearly everyone that reads this will take issue with at least a few players and where they’re placed in this mock. But hey – that’s what makes it fun!
Drop a comment below to tell me where you’d rather take a player! And chime in on which players I should have in the first five rounds, or which players I should dump into the middle rounds.
Either way, this is the officially kickoff to the 2014 Fantasy Football offseason! And we can all agree – that’s awesome!
This early mock draft is for a 12-team, non-PPR league that starts 1-QB, 2-RB, 2-WR, 1-Flex, 1-TE, 1-K and 1-DST, with 4 pts for a touchdown pass. I will work on editing this mock draft up until the 2014 NFL Draft, and then I’ll post an entirely new one once we figure out where the new rookie class will be headed.
1.01 Jamaal Charles, RB, Kansas City
1.02 LeSean McCoy, RB, Philadelphia
1.03 Adrian Peterson, RB, Minnesota
1.04 Marshawn Lynch, RB, Seattle
1.05 Matt Forte, RB, Chicago
1.06 Calvin Johnson, WR, Detroit
1.07 Eddie Lacy, RB, Green Bay
1.08 DeMarco Murray, RB, Dallas
1.09 Peyton Manning, QB, Denver
1.10 Zac Stacy, RB, St. Louis
1.11 Josh Gordon, WR, Cleveland
1.12 Jimmy Graham, TE, New Orleans
Not too many surprises here in this first round. The top three players could end up being interchangeable by August, much like A.P., McCoy and Ray Rice were back in 2011 draft season. Forte and Lynch, for me, are just too consistent to ignore in the first half of the first round. Forte is getting older, but in Marc Trestman’s offense, he’s used in a lot of ways and one of the best featured backs in the game.
Megatron is back in the top five for the third consecutive season, no arguments there.
It’s interesting that Lacy and Stacy, two rhyming rookie running backs, end up in the first round, considering we all hated this 2013 running back class last summer. Who would’ve thought we’d get two first rounders out of that sophomore group?
I’m still not going to be taking a quarterback in the first two rounds, but I know Manning’s record-breaking season means he could end up as a top-five draft pick – especially in leagues that reward six points per passing touchdown. I doubt he falls out of the top 10 in any draft this summer, though.
Gordon will be a controversial pick, too, since the Browns have tons of quarterback issues and now they’ll have an entirely new offensive system installed. The guy set the NFL record with 774 receiving yards in a four-game stretch, and he did it with two different quarterbacks! Even more surprising is that those two quarterbacks were named Jason Campbell and Brandon Weeden!
2.01 Demaryius Thomas, WR, Denver
2.02 Le’Veon Bell, RB, Pittsburgh
2.03 A.J. Green, WR, Cincinnati
2.04 Reggie Bush, RB, Detroit
2.05 Dez Bryant, WR, Dallas
2.06 Arian Foster, RB, Houston
2.07 Alfred Morris, RB, Washington
2.08 Julio Jones, WR, Atlanta
2.09 Doug Martin, RB, Tampa Bay
2.10 Aaron Rodgers, QB, Green Bay
2.11 Giovani Bernard, RB, Cincinnati
2.12 Alshon Jeffery, WR, Chicago
Plenty of players that have first-round potential found themselves in the 2014 second round, but they do have some question marks surrounding them.
Guys like Foster and Martin, who are coming off of season-ending injuries. Foster will likely return to a Texans team that won’t have Ben Tate stealing carries. Martin comes back to a Bucs team that was snake-bitten with a lot of injuries and unforeseen circumstances, like a MRSA outbreak. Who knew? Look at Bobby Rainey’s success, and you figure Martin should be able to bounce back from a shoulder injury. That’s key – it’s not a knee injury, just the shoulder.
Julio Jones, however, is coming back from a knee foot injury. But he’ll come back to a similarly snake-bitten Falcons squad, that will likely be without Tony Gonzalez. Jones could come back with a vengeance, with the potential to be the No. 1 Fantasy WR by season’s end.
3.01 Brandon Marshall, WR, Chicago
3.02 Drew Brees, QB, New Orleans
3.03 Knowshon Moreno, RB, Denver
3.04 Rob Gronkowski, TE, New England
3.05 C.J. Spiller, RB, Buffalo
3.06 Ryan Mathews, RB, San Diego
3.07 Pierre Garcon, WR, Washington
3.08 Randall Cobb, WR, Green Bay
3.09 Chris Johnson, RB, Tennessee
3.10 Ray Rice, RB, Baltimore
3.11 Frank Gore, RB, San Francisco
3.12 Antonio Brown, WR, Pittsburgh
Who would you rather have in 2014: Jeffery or Marshall? They’ll likely be drafted near each other for much of the summer, sort of like how Jones and Roddy White were in the summer of 2012. Jeffery’s the future star, with Marshall in the second half of his career.
Gronk and Spiller are two guys that have the talent to finish with first-round numbers, but there are concerns with both.
CJ2K, Gore and Rice are former first-rounders that will work well as RB2s in 2014. Don’t get too down on Rice, who suffered from horrible offensive line play. The 2012 Super Bowl champs should work to fix that in the offseason.
Brown moves up an entire round if you play in PPR formats. Was there anyone happier to see Mike Wallace in a Dolphins uniform this season? Maybe Ryan Tannehill, but still.
4.01 Vincent Jackson, WR, Tampa Bay
4.02 DeSean Jackson, WR, Philadelphia
4.03 Jordy Nelson, WR, Green Bay
4.04 Keenan Allen, WR, San Diego
4.05 Shane Vereen, RB, New England
4.06 Wes Welker, WR, Denver
4.07 Andre Ellington, RB, Arizona
4.08 Cam Newton, QB, Carolina
4.09 Lamar Miller, RB, Miami
4.10 Rashad Jennings, RB, Oakland
4.11 Ka’deem Carey, RB, Rookie
4.12 Maurice Jones-Drew, RB, Jacksonville
DeSean Jackson drops a bit, in spite of posting a career year in his sixth NFL season. Jeremy Maclin, who is a free agent coming off of a torn ACL, could return to the Eagles and take away targets. Jackson’s 82 regular season catches in 2013 were 20 more than he had ever caught in any other season.
Allen made huge strides in his rookie season, and he could have a Josh Gordon/Alshon Jeffery-type sophomore season.
Ka’Deem Carey has Spiller-like potential, with plus speed and great ability in the passing game. This doesn’t look to be a great group of rookie running backs, however, so we have him as a top-50 guy right now, depending on where he lands.
MJD will test the free-agent waters, so his draft status depends on where he lands. He’ll be 29 years old next season, and we’ll basically be looking at him as this year’s version of Falcons RB Steven Jackson. If MJD leaves Jacksonville, Jordan Todman moves up into the first five rounds of this 2014 Fantasy Football Mock Draft, although, they might draft Jones-Drew’s replacement, also.
5.01 Andre Johnson, WR, Houston
5.02 Larry Fitzgerald, WR, Arizona
5.03 Nick Foles, QB, Philadelphia
5.04 Victor Cruz, WR, N.Y. Giants
5.05 Fred Jackson, RB, Buffalo
5.06 Ben Tate, RB, Houston
5.07 Percy Harvin, WR, Seattle
5.08 Montee Ball, RB, Denver
5.09 Carlos Hyde, RB, Rookie
5.10 Stevan Ridley, RB, New England
5.11 Michael Crabtree, WR, San Francisco
5.12 Roddy White, WR, Atlanta
Tate’s eventual destination could change his draft stock considerably, although, he’s also coming off a rib injury that ended his season early.
Johnson and Fitzgerald are yesterday’s superstar wide receivers, but they also have plenty left in the tank. Johnson will be dealing with a new offense, and he has quarterback issues. He’s where Fitzgerald was entering last year. No. 11 will get a second season with Carson Palmer throwing to him – but he’s also giving up some targets to third-year wide receiver Michael Floyd.
Harvin is coming back from a hip injury that derailed the entire 2013 regular season, save one ball thrown to him in Week 11 against his former team, the Vikings. His play in the NFL Playoffs, if he does play, will go a long way in determining his draft value going forward.
Newton and Foles will likely flip-flop in many drafts, but I like Newton a little more over Foles just because he’s done it in successive years. Plus, I imagine the Panthers get him some help in the passing game with an early pick spent on a rookie wide receiver.
Let us know who you think is wildly overrated or sickly underrated in my early 2014 Fantasy Football mock draft! Follow me @DavidGonos and stay tuned for more offseason columns!
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Fantastic mock draft David! I agreed with nearly everything and enjoyed it very much! Keep up the great work :)
Thanks, Tony -- just checked your site out and wanted to say it looks great!
I also saw the first couple rounds of your mock draft -- very nice! We are pretty close, definitely!
Here's the link for everyone else to check it out.
Thanks for the shoutout :) Maybe we can collaborate together with a few others and have an experts mock draft sometime soon! I'm always up for it :)
I hate to be drafting between 7-10 next year. After McCoy and Charles, there's a steep drop off.
There is still plenty of talent there
Josh Gordon pick is ballsy but dependent on one Norval Turner, IMO.
Dude is apparently a sucky HC but incredible OC.
If Cleveland keeps him then Gordon should be $$.
Julio Jones had a foot injury, not knee.
Sometimes I wonder if that might be worse.
Even if declared "healthy" I would be VERY leery of him.
So he probably won't be on any of my teams.
Jeffery before Marshall? WOW!
Can't say I blame you though, he's a baaaaadddd man!
And like you said they could be the new Roddy/Julio.
Gronk? *sigh* can you trust his health, AGAIN?
Had planned to get Crabtree on all my teams this year.
Achilles messed that up.
Will try again this summer.
Love lists like this.
Thanks a bunch!
Great comment, Chris -- much appreciated. Thanks for catching that about Julio Jones -- careless mistake on my part.
Is this snake draft format?
Gio in round 2 is spot on for me. I will be targeting him then or waiting until round 3 if available. 2014 will be the year of GIO!!!!
You have Ryan Mathews being drafted in both the 3rd and 5th rounds.
Haha, thanks for catching that -- swapped some players around yesterday and screwed something up. Thanks again!
I appreciate this early mock draft! Ever since the end of my fantasy season (championship loss), I've been trying to making a list of people I can get for next season. I have concerns for Victor Cruz, I think he may be drafted too high especially when he has a qb like Eli throwing to him. & If Ben Tate goes to Cleveland, would his position sink?
Great info! Thanks for all of your hard work and dedication. I need your advice: I'm in a keeper league in which we can keep 4 players. I know that I'm keeping Brady, Julio, and Alshon, but I'm torn between CJ and Andre Ellington for my last spot. I've grown tired of CJ--if he's healthy (which isn't often), he's just not very productive, Fred Jackson steals most of the goal line carries, and that Bills offense is plain offensive. Ellington has the potential to be a stud, but they just haven't utilized him. Thoughts? Thanks!
I still like Chris Johnson in a new offense, but may lean Ellington here. He is clearly younger and more talented now, but the duarability and usage could still be a question next season.
Any impact on your keeper decisions (lost draft picks or $ cost)?? That will help too. If you lose a 12th round for Ellington, or a 2nd/3rd for Johnson it is is Ellington easy.
- Chris
I apologize for my lack of clarity--CJ is CJ Spiller, not Chris Johnson. Him or Ellington? Do you think AZ will hold on to Mendenhall? Will they finally get Ellington out in space?
the big problem i see here, is that the team who picks 12th in round 1 will have 4 wrs and a te after 5 rounds..If this is a snake draft like most leagues.